PredictOnTime

First Workshop on Observing and Predicting the Global Coastal Ocean

Venue: Lecce, Italy

11-13 May 2023

Draft Agenda (version of 09.02.2023)

First Workshop on Observing and Predicting
the Global Coastal Ocean

Venue: Lecce, Italy

11-13 May 2023


Join Zoom Meeting
https://cmcc-it.zoom.us/j/83204691520?
pwd=TmRQa3JPejI1MFdvS1JrdVBubm96UT09

Meeting ID: 832 0469 1520
Passcode: 145493


Type of meeting: in person and online
For more information: Giovanni giovanni.coppini@cmcc.it and Simone simone.phore@cmcc.it

Main aim of the workshop:

  • Overview status of PredictOnTime implementation and discussion on the next steps
  • Refine the PredictOnTime contribution to the CoastPredict “Global Coastal Experiment”: principles, proposed selection sites, list of outcomes, what new technologies and methodologies are required, testing of hypotheses etc.
  • Overview of current initiatives and projects connected to PredictOnTime work packages and activities
 
Thursday, 11 May 2023

 

09:00 – 11:25 Session 1: Introductions and scene setting

09:00 – 09:10 (10 min) Welcoming Remarks | Antonio Navarra, CMCC President

09:10 – 09:20 (10 min) The UN Decade CoastPredict Programme. Nadia Pinardi, Uni. Bologna

09:20 – 09:30 (10 min) The UN Decade PredictOnTime Project. Giovanni Coppini, CMCC

09:30 – 09:40 (10 min) Future Coastal Oceans Climate | Flame, Jo Hopkins, NOC

09:40 – 09:50 (10 min) UN Coastal Resilience DCC |Nadia Pinardi, Uni. Bologna

09:50 – 10:00 Discussion

10:00 – 10:20 (20 min) Guest speaker: “Aquarius: an integrated coastal hazard prediction system”, Delphine Lobelle, Fugro

 

10:20 – 10:50 Coffee break

 

10:50 – 11:00 (10 min) UN Ocean Prediction DCC |Enrique Alvarez Fanjul, MOi [Online]

11:00 – 13:00 Session 2: Innovative coastal observing systems
Presentations from submitted abstracts

11:00 – 11:15 i) Pauline Mwangi (Oral, online): Assessment of impacts of shoreline change on the nearshore marine environment at Gazi Bay, Kenya

11:15 – 11:20 ii) Hellen Kizenga (Online, Poster): Variability of mackerel fish catch and remotely-sensed biophysical controls in the eastern Pemba Channel

11:20 -11:35 iii) Juliet Hermes (Oral): Developing a Coastal Observation Lab in a Box – COLaB

11:35 – 11:40 iv) Courtney Bouchard (poster): Efforts to use near-real time data collection to assist in the monitoring and forecasting of the northern Gulf of Mexico hypoxic event

11:40 – 11:55 v) Anwesha Ghosh (oral):
Phytoplankton community dynamics under potential ocean
acidification scenarios: a case study from the Indian
Sundarbans

11:55 – 12:00 vi) Jhon Bermudez (poster): Low-cost coastal observation system in vulnerable communities of the Caribbean

12:00 – 12:15 viii) Alban Lazar (online, oral): COCAS: Coastal Ocean Observatory of Climate Change, CO2 and Acidification in the Global South

12:15 – 12:20 ix) Peter Busumprah (online, Poster): digitization of Ghana aquaculture sector

12:20 – 12:35 x) Zacharie Sohou (online, oral): Seasonal and inter-annual ONSET Sea Surface Temperature variability along the northern coast of the Gulf of Guinea

12:35 – 12:40 xi) David Mwandikwa (Poster, online): EFFECTS OF TRIGGERFISH ABUNDANCE AND HABITAT STRUCTURE ON POPULATIONS OF THE SEA URCHIN Tripneustes gratilla IN SEAGRASS MEADOWS OF KENYA

12:40 – 12:45 xii) Viviana Piermattei (poster): New marine technologies toward a Coastal Ocean Of Things (COOT)


Round Table/ Discussion (10 min)

 

13:00 – 14:00 Lunch

 

14:00 – 16:05 Session 3: Innovative integrated coastal modeling capacity
Presentations from submitted abstracts

14:00 – 14:10 i) Shan Gao (Oral): Validation of the operational ecosystem models and forecasts for China coastal seas

14:10 – 14:25 ii) Matías Dinapoli (Online, oral): Improving the short-range forecast of storm surges in the Southern-West Atlantic Continental Shelf using 4DEnSRF data assimilation

14:25 – 14:30 iii) Pencheng Wang (Online, Poster): The Global Deterministic storm Surge Prediction System (GDSPS)
v2: Adding Baroclinicity and Sea Ice Effects

14:30 – 14:40 iv) Donata Canu (Online,oral): The coupled SHYFEM-BFM for scenario analysis in the regulated Venice Lagoon system

14:40 – 14:50 v) Ivan Federico (Oral): Storm surge model forecasting and the attenuating role of nature based solutions

14:50 – 15:05 vi) Ginevra Rosati (oral): Developing new tools for contamination assessment and management of coastal-marine ecosystems

15:05 – 15:20 vii) Sara Morucci (online, oral): Managing the Uncertainty: “Acqua Alta” in Venice

15:20 – 15:25 viii) Imane Joudar (Online, poster): Impact of marine submersion on the Atlantic coast case of El Jadida bay

15:25 – 15:30 ix) Nouhaila Erraji Chahid (online, Poster): Hydrodynamic Modeling of Moulay Bousselham Lagoon (Morocco): Numerical investigations

15:30 – 15:45 x) Stefano Querin (Oral): Coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical modeling for short-term forecasts in the northern Adriatic Sea

15:45 – 15:50 xi) Italo Dos Reis Lopez (Poster): DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL MODELLING SYSTEM FOR FLOOD PREDICTION

15:50 – 16:05 xii) Mahmud Hasan (oral): Reassessment of heat budget in the Mediterranean Sea and an investigation of probability distributions of heat fluxes using Extreme Value Theory

 

16:05 – 16:15 Round Table/ Discussion

 

16.15 – 16:45 Coffee break

 

16.45 – 17:30 Session 4: Data assimilation and machine learning in the coastal ocean
Presentations from submitted abstracts

16:45 – 17:00 i) Rodrigo Campos Caba (Oral): Preliminary developments for a machine-learning downscaling and prediction system trained on long-term numerical simulations of sea levels

17:00 – 17:15 ii) Dr. Geetali Saha (Online, oral): Prediction of SSTA HadISST dataset using machine learning techniques

 

17:15 – 17:30 Round Table/ Discussion

 

17:30 – 19:00 Drinks reception and posters at CMCC


Friday, 12 May 2023

 

09:00 – 11:00 Session 5: End-to-end demonstration through key applications
Presentations from submitted abstracts

09:00 – 09:15 i) Joanna Staneva (Oral): Predicting of Land to Ocean Continuum and What-If Scenario for nature-based solutions

09:15 – 09:30 ii) Joao Souza (oral): An end-to-end forecast system utilizing ship-based ocean observations

09:30 – 09:45 iii) George Zodiatis (Online,oral):
Examples why operational and down-streaming forecast is useful
to the key end-users in the Med-Sea

09:45 – 10:00 iv) Marco Marcelli (Oral): Renovate: Project: ecosystem approach for compensation and mitigation actions in the coastal marine environment

10:00 – 10:15 v) Nkululeko Memela (oral): Operational Ocean Modelling for Improved Decision Making: a South African Perspective

10:15 – 10:30 vi) Edgard Cabrera (Oral): Ocean Decade Project: Integrating Coastal Hazard Early Warning Systems for the Tropical Americas and Caribbean (iCHEWS

10:30 – 10:45 vii) Begoña Pérez (Online): OSPAC: Oceanographic services of ports and cities

10:45 – 11:00 viii) Slim Gana (oral): Operational Oceanography for fish-farming assistance to day-to-day production

11:00 – 11:05 ix) Milica Predragovic (Poster):Climate change effects on European marine protected areas

 

11:05 – 11:35 Coffee break

 

11:35 – 11:50 x) Aldo Drago (Oral): Connecting Space Data to Society

11:50 – 12:00 xi) Augusto Sepp (Oral): Prototypes for marine pollution management

12:00 – 12:10 xii) Terhile Dominic Uchi (online, oral): Coastal Resilience and Climate Change

12:10 – 12:20 xiii) Magak Adel (online, oral): COMMUNITY PERCEPTION OF THE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE LAKE REGION, A CASE STUDY OF HOMA BAY COUNTY

12:20 – 12:35 xiv) Felix Dols (oral): EDiTO-lab: an EU Horizon project

12:35 – 13:10 Breakout group discussion and activities

13:10 – 13:30 Reporting and discussion in plenary

 

13:30- 14:30 Lunch

 

14:30 Session 6: The CoastPredict Global Coastal
(15 min) Global Coast – The CoastPredict Global Coastal Ocean Experiment. Nadia Pinardi, Uni.Bologna, Italy [Invited speaker]

Discussion

Breakout group discussion and activities

 

16:30-17:00 Coffee break

 

17:00-18:00 Session 7: Next Steps
Reporting and discussion in plenary (continued from session 6)
Parallel discussion sessions on Next Steps
Formal close of meeting and remarks from PredictOnTime team

20:00 Conference Dinner (Arryvo) – Via Adua, 24, 73100 Lecce LE

 
Saturday, 13 May 2023

10:00-15:30 Networking and Guided Tour in Lecce City Centre

Location: CMCC – Via Marco Biagi, 5 – 73100 Lecce (LE)

This workshop is co-financed by the EU Interreg Italy-Croatia CBC Programme project AdriaClim and is linked to the activities of the projects STREAM and CASCADE of the same Interreg Programme.